Durham Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 411,362 and a calculated risk score of 80.9, Durham faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Durham, NC. Durham is a city with a rich history and bright future. But smart residents know to keep an eye on the forecast. We found that winter weather rank among the highest local hazards.
Total Risk Score
The numbers don't lie. Durham sits at a Risk Score of 80.908. This is driven by a combination of factors, most notably Winter Weather and Tornado.
Winter storm risk in Durham, North Carolina
Severe winter weather and ice storms pose a unique threat to Durham, potentially causing extended power outages and hazardous road conditions. Infrastructure in the area may be vulnerable to heavy ice accumulation.
Durham Winter Grid Failure Prep
- •Have a safe, indoor-rated backup heat source
- •Insulate pipes and know how to shut off main water valve
- •Keep a backup battery bank for charging phones
Top Hazards for The Durham Area
Meteorological data for North Carolina confirms that local planning increasingly focuses on mitigating winter weather. In light of this, based on multi-decade trend analysis, we assign an exposure rating of 97.5. Identifying a safe, windowless interior room is part of basic move-in preparation here.
From a statewide perspective in North Carolina, seasonality plays a huge role in the intensity of tornadoes here. Consequently, our algorithm flags this as a priority area with a calculated intensity of 94.2. Local schools and businesses typically have robust protocols for these weather events.
In the broader context of North Carolina's climate, lightning represent a significant vector of concern for Durham. Furthermore, recent climate normals and historical event data contribute to this elevated score of 92.7. Insulation and sealing drafts can be a lifesaver when a lightning strains the power grid.
Winter Grid Failure Guide
Durham has significant winter storm risk. Learn the thermodynamics of survival when the power goes out.
The Apartment Fortress
Living in Durham? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Durham
Read the Full Guide →General preparedness is critical for Durham. While specific risks vary, the fundamentals of survival—water, food, and information—remain the same.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Keep a physical map of the local area in case GPS fails.
- 2Maintain a 3-day supply of non-perishable food and water.
- 3Have a first aid kit and a supply of prescription medications.
- 4Keep a battery-powered radio to stay informed during power outages.
- 5Establish a family communication plan for when cell towers are down.
Essential Gear for Durham
Water
Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System
Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.
Power
Petzl Actik Core Headlamp
600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.
Home
Gorilla Tape (Black)
Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.
The best insurance against Winter Weather is preparation. Check your kit and ensure you are ready.
View Complete Gear Checklist →Compare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 88.3 | Choosing between Durham and Charlotte? Durham presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| Raleigh | 90.2 | Raleigh and Durham share similar regional risks, but our data gives Durham the edge in overall safety. |
| Winston-Salem | 73.3 | Winston-Salem and Durham share similar regional risks, but our data gives Winston-Salem the edge in overall safety. |
| Greensboro | 81.4 | Greensboro and Durham share similar regional risks, but our data gives Durham the edge in overall safety. |
| Fayetteville | 88.3 | Choosing between Durham and Fayetteville? Durham presents a lower overall risk profile. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Winter Weathers in Durham?
With a risk score of 97.5 for Winter Weather, Durham is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Winter Weather events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Durham safer than other cities in North Carolina?
It varies by hazard. While Durham has its own risk profile (Total Score: 80.9), it is generally comparable to the average in North Carolina. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Durham given the risk of Tornado?
Every city has risks. The threat of Tornado (Score: 94.2) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Durham is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Durham compare to other cities in North Carolina?
See the full North Carolina Disaster Rankings to see how Durham stacks up against other cities in the state.