Transparent & data-driven

How to Read the Risk Directory

We organize the site around cities, then display FEMA's county-equivalent figures with the source, vintage, and units.

The essential distinction

A FEMA relative risk score is a comparison measure, not a percent chance. The directory never turns that score into the probability that a disaster will strike a city, neighborhood, or home.

What the pages combine

Our hazard source is the FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0, released March 2023. City population and coordinates come from SimpleMaps US Cities Database.

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1. City context

City name, state, population, coordinates, state navigation, and true nearby-city distances make each page useful for finding and comparing places.

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2. County hazard profile

Each city is joined to its county FIPS code. The 18 hazard metrics apply across that county, so same-county cities can correctly share FEMA values.

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3. FEMA measures

Pages show the source relative score and rating, annualized frequency, and recorded events when available. FEMA's area-wide annualized loss estimate appears only in the detailed hazard panel. We do not rescale the FEMA scores.

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4. Household usefulness

Homeowner questions, preparedness actions, official guidance, and hazard-tagged gear connect comparative data to practical next steps without pretending to give property advice.

Geographic model

City context + county hazard evidence

The city marker is for orientation. It does not shrink county values to the city boundary or imply an address-level result.

Frequency is hazard-specific

For tornadoes, the directory labels FEMA's historical annualized occurrence rate as events per year. For earthquakes, FEMA's annualized frequency is a modeled annual probability, so the page displays it as a percentage per year. Other hazard thresholds and methods differ; their values remain labeled as FEMA annualized frequency until a hazard-specific explanation is verified. Every displayed value includes β€œper year” beside the number.

What this directory cannot answer

  • The likelihood of damage at a particular address or during a particular year.
  • Whether a specific property is in a fault, flood, liquefaction, wind, or evacuation zone.
  • The condition of a building, the adequacy of a retrofit, or the coverage in an insurance policy.
  • Real-time alerts, forecasts, evacuation orders, or changes after the March 2023 source release.

Use official state and local maps, emergency managers, licensed professionals, and current warnings for those decisions.