Cary Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 176,686 and a calculated risk score of 90.2, Cary faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Cary, NC. Cary is a city with a rich history and bright future. But smart residents know to keep an eye on the forecast. We found that lightning rank among the highest local hazards.
Total Risk Score
The numbers don't lie. Cary sits at a Risk Score of 90.186. This is driven by a combination of factors, most notably Lightning and Tornado.
Top Hazards for The Cary Area
As population density grows in North Carolina, future climate projections suggest an uptick in lightning severity. However, our modeling, based on FEMA and NOAA datasets, assigns a score of 98.1/100. Power outages often accompany these events, making backup power (like batteries) essential.
Given the environmental patterns common in North Carolina, the potential for tornadoes in Cary stands out as a primary factor. Additionally, this score of 96.8 reflects both the frequency and potential severity of events. During these events, checking on elderly neighbors is a critical community responsibility.
In the broader context of North Carolina's climate, ice storms represent a significant vector of concern for Cary. Furthermore, recent climate normals and historical event data contribute to this elevated score of 96.7. Insulation and sealing drafts can be a lifesaver when a ice storm strains the power grid.
Winter Grid Failure Guide
Cary has significant winter storm risk. Learn the thermodynamics of survival when the power goes out.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Cary? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Cary
Read the Full Guide →General preparedness is critical for Cary. While specific risks vary, the fundamentals of survival—water, food, and information—remain the same.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Keep a physical map of the local area in case GPS fails.
- 2Maintain a 3-day supply of non-perishable food and water.
- 3Have a first aid kit and a supply of prescription medications.
- 4Keep a battery-powered radio to stay informed during power outages.
- 5Establish a family communication plan for when cell towers are down.
Essential Gear for Cary

Water
Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System
Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

Power
Petzl Actik Core Headlamp
600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.

Tools
Leatherman Wave+ Multi-Tool
18 tools in one. Essential for turning off gas valves or making repairs.
The best insurance against Lightning is preparation. Check your kit and ensure you are ready.
View Complete Gear Checklist →Compare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 88.3 | Choosing between Cary and Charlotte? Cary presents a unique set of challenges. |
| Raleigh | 90.2 | Raleigh and Cary share similar regional risks, but our data gives Raleigh the edge in overall safety. |
| Winston-Salem | 73.3 | Winston-Salem and Cary share similar regional risks, but our data gives Winston-Salem the edge in overall safety. |
| Durham | 80.9 | Choosing between Cary and Durham? Cary presents a unique set of challenges. |
| Greensboro | 81.4 | Greensboro and Cary share similar regional risks, but our data gives Greensboro the edge in overall safety. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Lightnings in Cary?
With a risk score of 98.1 for Lightning, Cary is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Lightning events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Cary safer than other cities in North Carolina?
It varies by hazard. While Cary has its own risk profile (Total Score: 90.2), it is among the higher-risk areas in North Carolina. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Cary given the risk of Tornado?
Every city has risks. The threat of Tornado (Score: 96.8) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Cary is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Cary compare to other cities in North Carolina?
See the full North Carolina Disaster Rankings to see how Cary stacks up against other cities in the state.