California Risk Analysis

Tracy Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis

With a population of 95,358 and a calculated risk score of 96.4, Tracy faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Tracy, CA. From its neighborhoods to its downtown, Tracy is unique. But ignoring the local climate risks is not an option. Our data indicates a specific vulnerability to earthquakes.

Total Risk Score

96.418/100
State Average98.7
National Avg62.5

Our algorithm assigns Tracy a Risk Score of 96.418 out of 100. This score is heavily influenced by the high probability of Earthquake and Heat Wave.

Earthquake risk in Tracy, California

Tracy's location near active fault lines makes earthquake preparedness critical for all residents. While seismic retrofitting has improved infrastructure, the potential for a significant magnitude event remains a primary hazard concern for the region.

Tracy Earthquake Safety

  • β€’Secure heavy furniture and water heaters to wall studs
  • β€’Create a family communication plan for when cell towers fail
  • β€’Keep sturdy shoes and a flashlight tied to your bedframe

Top Hazards for The Tracy Area

1Earthquake
99.2 /100

As part of the wider California region, the threat of earthquakes should not be underestimated. However, this quantitative assessment yields a precise risk factor of 99.2. Unlike weather events, a earthquake offers no warning, demanding 24/7 readiness.

2Heat Wave
95.6 /100

The geographical layout of California means that emergency services prioritize readiness for these heat wave scenarios. Therefore, deep learning models analyzing weather patterns output this risk metric of 95.6. Staying off the roads during a severe heat wave event is the safest choice.

3Wildfire
85.3 /100

Within the specific ecosystem of California, wildfire frequency is a defining characteristic of the local hazard profile. As a result, historical probability models result in a localized score of 85.3/100. Creating defensible space around the home is the single most effective mitigation step.

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Monitor Active Threats

Tracy has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

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Brownstone building
Urban Survival

The Apartment Fortress

Living in Tracy? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.

Read the Guide β†’

How to Prepare in Tracy

Read the Full Guide β†’

In Tracy, warning times are minimal. The ground can shift without notice, making immediate physical safety your priority. Your home environment needs to be 'quake-proofed' long before the shaking starts.

Critical Action Checklist

  • 1Store breakable items in low, latched cabinets.
  • 2Prepare for secondary heat waves if power is lost.
  • 3Secure heavy furniture and appliances to the walls.
  • 4Identify safe spots (under sturdy tables) in each room.
  • 5Keep a pair of sturdy shoes and a flashlight tied to your bedframe.

Essential Gear for Tracy

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Water

DroughtHurricane

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

Anker PowerCore 10K

Power

GeneralHurricane

Anker PowerCore 10K

Pocket-sized power to keep your phone alive for emergency calls.

Gorilla Tape (Black)

Home

GeneralHurricane

Gorilla Tape (Black)

Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.

Your safety depends on your readiness. Start building your emergency kit for Earthquake now.

View Complete Gear Checklist β†’

Compare Nearby Cities

CityRisk ScoreAnalysis
Los Angeles100.0

Choosing between Tracy and Los Angeles? Tracy presents a lower overall risk profile.

San Francisco98.3

When compared to San Francisco, Tracy is statistically safer. The difference of 1.9 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

San Diego99.6

San Diego and Tracy share similar regional risks, but our data gives Tracy the edge in overall safety.

Riverside99.9

Riverside and Tracy share similar regional risks, but our data gives Tracy the edge in overall safety.

Sacramento96.3

When compared to Sacramento, Tracy is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.1 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Frequently Asked Questions

How common are Earthquakes in Tracy?

With a risk score of 99.2 for Earthquake, Tracy is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Earthquake events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.

Is Tracy safer than other cities in California?

It varies by hazard. While Tracy has its own risk profile (Total Score: 96.4), it is among the higher-risk areas in California. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.

Should I move to Tracy given the risk of Heat Wave?

Every city has risks. The threat of Heat Wave (Score: 95.6) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Tracy is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.

How does Tracy compare to other cities in California?

See the full California Disaster Rankings to see how Tracy stacks up against other cities in the state.