Tracy Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 95,358 and a calculated risk score of 96.4, Tracy faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Tracy, CA. From its neighborhoods to its downtown, Tracy is unique. But ignoring the local climate risks is not an option. Our data indicates a specific vulnerability to earthquakes.
Total Risk Score
Our algorithm assigns Tracy a Risk Score of 96.418 out of 100. This score is heavily influenced by the high probability of Earthquake and Heat Wave.
Earthquake risk in Tracy, California
Tracy's location near active fault lines makes earthquake preparedness critical for all residents. While seismic retrofitting has improved infrastructure, the potential for a significant magnitude event remains a primary hazard concern for the region.
Tracy Earthquake Safety
- β’Secure heavy furniture and water heaters to wall studs
- β’Create a family communication plan for when cell towers fail
- β’Keep sturdy shoes and a flashlight tied to your bedframe
Top Hazards for The Tracy Area
As part of the wider California region, the threat of earthquakes should not be underestimated. However, this quantitative assessment yields a precise risk factor of 99.2. Unlike weather events, a earthquake offers no warning, demanding 24/7 readiness.
The geographical layout of California means that emergency services prioritize readiness for these heat wave scenarios. Therefore, deep learning models analyzing weather patterns output this risk metric of 95.6. Staying off the roads during a severe heat wave event is the safest choice.
Within the specific ecosystem of California, wildfire frequency is a defining characteristic of the local hazard profile. As a result, historical probability models result in a localized score of 85.3/100. Creating defensible space around the home is the single most effective mitigation step.
Monitor Active Threats
Tracy has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Tracy? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Tracy
Read the Full Guide βIn Tracy, warning times are minimal. The ground can shift without notice, making immediate physical safety your priority. Your home environment needs to be 'quake-proofed' long before the shaking starts.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Store breakable items in low, latched cabinets.
- 2Prepare for secondary heat waves if power is lost.
- 3Secure heavy furniture and appliances to the walls.
- 4Identify safe spots (under sturdy tables) in each room.
- 5Keep a pair of sturdy shoes and a flashlight tied to your bedframe.
Essential Gear for Tracy

Water
Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System
Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

Power
Anker PowerCore 10K
Pocket-sized power to keep your phone alive for emergency calls.

Home
Gorilla Tape (Black)
Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.
Your safety depends on your readiness. Start building your emergency kit for Earthquake now.
View Complete Gear Checklist βCompare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 100.0 | Choosing between Tracy and Los Angeles? Tracy presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| San Francisco | 98.3 | When compared to San Francisco, Tracy is statistically safer. The difference of 1.9 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| San Diego | 99.6 | San Diego and Tracy share similar regional risks, but our data gives Tracy the edge in overall safety. |
| Riverside | 99.9 | Riverside and Tracy share similar regional risks, but our data gives Tracy the edge in overall safety. |
| Sacramento | 96.3 | When compared to Sacramento, Tracy is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.1 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Earthquakes in Tracy?
With a risk score of 99.2 for Earthquake, Tracy is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Earthquake events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Tracy safer than other cities in California?
It varies by hazard. While Tracy has its own risk profile (Total Score: 96.4), it is among the higher-risk areas in California. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Tracy given the risk of Heat Wave?
Every city has risks. The threat of Heat Wave (Score: 95.6) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Tracy is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Tracy compare to other cities in California?
See the full California Disaster Rankings to see how Tracy stacks up against other cities in the state.