Manteca Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 95,347 and a calculated risk score of 96.4, Manteca faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Manteca, CA. Living in Manteca offers a unique lifestyle. But like any location, it has unique set of risks. The most significant threat to be aware of is earthquakes.
Total Risk Score
The numbers don't lie. Manteca sits at a Risk Score of 96.418. This is driven by a combination of factors, most notably Earthquake and Heat Wave.
Earthquake risk in Manteca, California
Manteca's location near active fault lines makes earthquake preparedness critical for all residents. While seismic retrofitting has improved infrastructure, the potential for a significant magnitude event remains a primary hazard concern for the region.
Manteca Earthquake Safety
- β’Secure heavy furniture and water heaters to wall studs
- β’Create a family communication plan for when cell towers fail
- β’Keep sturdy shoes and a flashlight tied to your bedframe
Top Hazards for The Manteca Area
Observing the seasonal cycles typical of California, earthquakes constitute a major variable in the local quality of life equations. Moreover weighted against regional averages, this score of 99.2 is statistically significant. Having an out-of-area contact is crucial when local communication lines inevitably fail.
Looking at the long-term climate history of California, resilience against heat waves is a key aspect of local safety. Therefore, we calculate a specific index of 95.6, indicating a substantial threat level. Staying off the roads during a severe heat wave event is the safest choice.
Given the environmental patterns common in California, the potential for wildfires in Manteca stands out as a primary factor. Additionally, this score of 85.3 reflects both the frequency and potential severity of events. Landscaping choices play a huge role in determining a property's resilience to wildfire.
Monitor Active Threats
Manteca has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Manteca? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Manteca
Read the Full Guide βIn Manteca, warning times are minimal. The ground can shift without notice, making immediate physical safety your priority. Your home environment needs to be 'quake-proofed' long before the shaking starts.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Store breakable items in low, latched cabinets.
- 2Prepare for secondary heat waves if power is lost.
- 3Secure heavy furniture and appliances to the walls.
- 4Identify safe spots (under sturdy tables) in each room.
- 5Keep a pair of sturdy shoes and a flashlight tied to your bedframe.
Essential Gear for Manteca

Water
Scepter 2.5 Gallon Water Container
Lighter and easier to carry than the 5-gallon version.

Power
Anker PowerCore 10K
Pocket-sized power to keep your phone alive for emergency calls.

Water
Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System
Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.
The best insurance against Earthquake is preparation. Check your kit and ensure you are ready.
View Complete Gear Checklist βCompare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 100.0 | When compared to Los Angeles, Manteca is statistically safer. The difference of 3.6 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| San Francisco | 98.3 | San Francisco and Manteca share similar regional risks, but our data gives Manteca the edge in overall safety. |
| San Diego | 99.6 | Choosing between Manteca and San Diego? Manteca presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| Riverside | 99.9 | Choosing between Manteca and Riverside? Manteca presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| Sacramento | 96.3 | Sacramento and Manteca share similar regional risks, but our data gives Sacramento the edge in overall safety. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Earthquakes in Manteca?
With a risk score of 99.2 for Earthquake, Manteca is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Earthquake events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Manteca safer than other cities in California?
It varies by hazard. While Manteca has its own risk profile (Total Score: 96.4), it is among the higher-risk areas in California. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Manteca given the risk of Heat Wave?
Every city has risks. The threat of Heat Wave (Score: 95.6) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Manteca is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Manteca compare to other cities in California?
See the full California Disaster Rankings to see how Manteca stacks up against other cities in the state.