Tempe Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 186,419 and a calculated risk score of 96.2, Tempe faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Tempe, AZ. The community in Tempe is tight-knit and spirited. But being prepared means knowing what could go wrong. Historical data suggests a pattern of heat wave activity.
Total Risk Score
Our algorithm assigns Tempe a Risk Score of 96.181 out of 100. This score is heavily influenced by the high probability of Heat Wave and Wildfire.
Top Hazards for The Tempe Area
Within the specific ecosystem of Arizona, heat wave frequency is a defining characteristic of the local hazard profile. As a result, historical probability models result in a localized score of 99.8/100. A NOAA weather radio with battery backup is the most reliable way to receive alerts.
The geographical layout of Arizona means that emergency services prioritize readiness for these wildfire scenarios. Therefore, deep learning models analyzing weather patterns output this risk metric of 99.7. Understanding local evacuation zones (and backup routes) is vital for every resident.
Environmental studies focusing on Arizona highlight that the area's infrastructure faces consistent tests from earthquake events. Additionally, federal hazard layers combined with local topography result in this 98.2 score. Emergency kits must include shoes and gloves to navigate debris after an event.
Monitor Active Threats
Tempe has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Tempe? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Tempe
Read the Full Guide βExtreme heat is a silent killer in Tempe. It stresses the power grid and the human body. Your survival strategy should revolve around hydration, cooling, and backup power.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Know the location of your nearest cooling center.
- 2Have a backup power source for fans or medical devices.
- 3Cover windows with reflective material to keep heat out.
- 4Monitor local weather for 'Wet Bulb' temperature warnings.
- 5Store electrolyte powder in your kit, not just plain water.
Essential Gear for Tempe

Water
COOZMENT 3.2 Gallon Container with Spigot
A solid middle-ground option with a built-in spigot. Good for camping or countertop use.

Power
Petzl Actik Core Headlamp
600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.

Water
Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System
Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.
Your safety depends on your readiness. Start building your emergency kit for Heat Wave now.
View Complete Gear Checklist βCompare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 96.2 | When compared to Phoenix, Tempe is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Tucson | 92.9 | Tucson and Tempe share similar regional risks, but our data gives Tucson the edge in overall safety. |
| Mesa | 96.2 | When compared to Mesa, Tempe is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Chandler | 96.2 | Choosing between Tempe and Chandler? Tempe presents a unique set of challenges. |
| Gilbert | 96.2 | When compared to Gilbert, Tempe is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Heat Waves in Tempe?
With a risk score of 99.8 for Heat Wave, Tempe is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Heat Wave events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Tempe safer than other cities in Arizona?
It varies by hazard. While Tempe has its own risk profile (Total Score: 96.2), it is among the higher-risk areas in Arizona. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Tempe given the risk of Wildfire?
Every city has risks. The threat of Wildfire (Score: 99.7) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Tempe is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Tempe compare to other cities in Arizona?
See the full Arizona Disaster Rankings to see how Tempe stacks up against other cities in the state.