Arizona Risk Analysis

Phoenix Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis

With a population of 4,065,338 and a calculated risk score of 96.2, Phoenix faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Phoenix, AZ. The landscape around Phoenix defines much of daily life. Yet, the geography also exposes the area to certain threats. The risk of heat waves is higher here than the national average.

Total Risk Score

96.181/100
State Average94.2
State Rank#1 of 15 β†’
National Avg62.5

The numbers don't lie. Phoenix sits at a Risk Score of 96.181. This is driven by a combination of factors, most notably Heat Wave and Wildfire.

Top Hazards for The Phoenix Area

1Heat Wave
99.8 /100

Comparisons of local data to the rest of Arizona reveal, Phoenix faces a critical challenge with heat wave events. In light of this, with a calculated Risk Score of 99.8, this hazard ranks among the top concerns. Identifying a safe, windowless interior room is part of basic move-in preparation here.

2Wildfire
99.7 /100

Long-standing weather records for Arizona indicate citizens here are statistically more likely to encounter wildfires. Crucially, an analytical review of past disasters puts the current risk tier at 99.7. Residents should subscribe to local 'Red Flag' alerts to stay ahead of rapid ignitions.

3Earthquake
98.2 /100

Comparisons of local data to the rest of Arizona reveal, Phoenix faces a critical challenge with earthquake events. In light of this, with a calculated Risk Score of 98.2, this hazard ranks among the top concerns. Structural retrofitting for older homes can significantly mitigate the danger of earthquakes.

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Monitor Active Threats

Phoenix has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

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Urban Survival

The Apartment Fortress

Living in Phoenix? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.

Read the Guide β†’

How to Prepare in Phoenix

Read the Full Guide β†’

Extreme heat is a silent killer in Phoenix. It stresses the power grid and the human body. Your survival strategy should revolve around hydration, cooling, and backup power.

Critical Action Checklist

  • 1Know the location of your nearest cooling center.
  • 2Have a backup power source for fans or medical devices.
  • 3Cover windows with reflective material to keep heat out.
  • 4Monitor local weather for 'Wet Bulb' temperature warnings.
  • 5Store electrolyte powder in your kit, not just plain water.

Essential Gear for Phoenix

COOZMENT 3.2 Gallon Container with Spigot

Water

DroughtHurricane

COOZMENT 3.2 Gallon Container with Spigot

A solid middle-ground option with a built-in spigot. Good for camping or countertop use.

Petzl Actik Core Headlamp

Power

HurricaneWinter Storm

Petzl Actik Core Headlamp

600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Water

DroughtHurricane

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

The best insurance against Heat Wave is preparation. Check your kit and ensure you are ready.

View Complete Gear Checklist β†’

Compare Nearby Cities

CityRisk ScoreAnalysis
Tucson92.9

Choosing between Phoenix and Tucson? Phoenix presents a unique set of challenges.

Mesa96.2

Mesa and Phoenix share similar regional risks, but our data gives Mesa the edge in overall safety.

Chandler96.2

When compared to Chandler, Phoenix is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Gilbert96.2

Gilbert and Phoenix share similar regional risks, but our data gives Gilbert the edge in overall safety.

Glendale96.2

When compared to Glendale, Phoenix is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Frequently Asked Questions

How common are Heat Waves in Phoenix?

With a risk score of 99.8 for Heat Wave, Phoenix is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Heat Wave events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.

Is Phoenix safer than other cities in Arizona?

It varies by hazard. While Phoenix has its own risk profile (Total Score: 96.2), it is among the higher-risk areas in Arizona. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.

Should I move to Phoenix given the risk of Wildfire?

Every city has risks. The threat of Wildfire (Score: 99.7) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Phoenix is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.

How does Phoenix compare to other cities in Arizona?

See the full Arizona Disaster Rankings to see how Phoenix stacks up against other cities in the state.