Mesa Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 507,478 and a calculated risk score of 96.2, Mesa faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Mesa, AZ. Life in Mesa comes with its own set of rewards. However, FEMA data points to some underlying risks. Your emergency plan should definitely account for heat waves.
Total Risk Score
Our algorithm assigns Mesa a Risk Score of 96.181 out of 100. This score is heavily influenced by the high probability of Heat Wave and Wildfire.
Top Hazards for The Mesa Area
Across the diverse landscape of Arizona, heat wave preparedness is ingrained in the local community culture. Furthermore, the generated risk index of 99.8 is derived from granular local inputs. Insulation and sealing drafts can be a lifesaver when a heat wave strains the power grid.
Historically, the climate of Arizona dictates that historical precedents show that wildfires are an ever-present reality. As a result, the aggregate danger score for this specific hazard stands at 99.7. Creating defensible space around the home is the single most effective mitigation step.
When analyzing the risk profile of Arizona, Mesa's geography makes it particularly susceptible to earthquake risks. Crucially, we've weighted historical incidence rates to arrive at a localized risk verification of 98.2. Bolt-down foundations and braced water heaters are standard requirements for safety.
Monitor Active Threats
Mesa has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Mesa? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Mesa
Read the Full Guide βExtreme heat is a silent killer in Mesa. It stresses the power grid and the human body. Your survival strategy should revolve around hydration, cooling, and backup power.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Know the location of your nearest cooling center.
- 2Have a backup power source for fans or medical devices.
- 3Cover windows with reflective material to keep heat out.
- 4Monitor local weather for 'Wet Bulb' temperature warnings.
- 5Store electrolyte powder in your kit, not just plain water.
Essential Gear for Mesa

Water
Scepter 2.5 Gallon Water Container
Lighter and easier to carry than the 5-gallon version.

Power
Anker PowerCore 10K
Pocket-sized power to keep your phone alive for emergency calls.

Pets
PetBonus Collapsible Dog Bowls
Collapsible bowls for easy packing. Hydration is critical for pets during stress.
Your safety depends on your readiness. Start building your emergency kit for Heat Wave now.
View Complete Gear Checklist βCompare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 96.2 | When compared to Phoenix, Mesa is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Tucson | 92.9 | Tucson and Mesa share similar regional risks, but our data gives Tucson the edge in overall safety. |
| Chandler | 96.2 | Choosing between Mesa and Chandler? Mesa presents a unique set of challenges. |
| Gilbert | 96.2 | When compared to Gilbert, Mesa is slightly higher risk. The difference of 0.0 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Glendale | 96.2 | Choosing between Mesa and Glendale? Mesa presents a unique set of challenges. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Heat Waves in Mesa?
With a risk score of 99.8 for Heat Wave, Mesa is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Heat Wave events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Mesa safer than other cities in Arizona?
It varies by hazard. While Mesa has its own risk profile (Total Score: 96.2), it is among the higher-risk areas in Arizona. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Mesa given the risk of Wildfire?
Every city has risks. The threat of Wildfire (Score: 99.7) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Mesa is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Mesa compare to other cities in Arizona?
See the full Arizona Disaster Rankings to see how Mesa stacks up against other cities in the state.