Erie Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 184,332 and a calculated risk score of 58.7, Erie faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Erie, PA. Erie is a city with a rich history and bright future. But smart residents know to keep an eye on the forecast. We found that winter weather rank among the highest local hazards.
Total Risk Score
With a calculated Risk Score of 58.674, Erie requires specific preparation. The data highlights Winter Weather as the most critical threat to mitigate.
Winter storm risk in Erie, Pennsylvania
Severe winter weather and ice storms pose a unique threat to Erie, potentially causing extended power outages and hazardous road conditions. Infrastructure in the area may be vulnerable to heavy ice accumulation.
Erie Winter Grid Failure Prep
- •Have a safe, indoor-rated backup heat source
- •Insulate pipes and know how to shut off main water valve
- •Keep a backup battery bank for charging phones
Top Hazards for The Erie Area
In terms of regional hazard exposure in Pennsylvania, the proximity to specific terrain features amplifies the winter weather risk. It is important to note that this value of 96.8 serves as a benchmark for local insurance and safety planning. Keeping trees trimmed near power lines reduces the risk of prolonged outages.
In the broader context of Pennsylvania's climate, lightning represent a significant vector of concern for Erie. Furthermore, recent climate normals and historical event data contribute to this elevated score of 95.9. Insulation and sealing drafts can be a lifesaver when a lightning strains the power grid.
As part of the wider Pennsylvania region, the threat of river flooding should not be underestimated. However, this quantitative assessment yields a precise risk factor of 83.9. Flood insurance is highly recommended, even for those technically outside the 100-year floodplain.
Winter Grid Failure Guide
Erie has significant winter storm risk. Learn the thermodynamics of survival when the power goes out.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Erie? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Erie
Read the Full Guide →General preparedness is critical for Erie. While specific risks vary, the fundamentals of survival—water, food, and information—remain the same.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Keep a physical map of the local area in case GPS fails.
- 2Maintain a 3-day supply of non-perishable food and water.
- 3Have a first aid kit and a supply of prescription medications.
- 4Keep a battery-powered radio to stay informed during power outages.
- 5Establish a family communication plan for when cell towers are down.
Essential Gear for Erie

Power
Anker PowerCore 10K
Pocket-sized power to keep your phone alive for emergency calls.

Home
Gorilla Tape (Black)
Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.

Pets
PetBonus Collapsible Dog Bowls
Collapsible bowls for easy packing. Hydration is critical for pets during stress.
Do not wait for a Winter Weather warning to start packing. Secure your essential gear today.
View Complete Gear Checklist →Compare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 97.4 | When compared to Philadelphia, Erie is statistically safer. The difference of 38.7 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Pittsburgh | 70.7 | Choosing between Erie and Pittsburgh? Erie presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| Allentown | 75.8 | When compared to Allentown, Erie is statistically safer. The difference of 17.1 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Harrisburg | 84.9 | Choosing between Erie and Harrisburg? Erie presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| Lancaster | 83.9 | When compared to Lancaster, Erie is statistically safer. The difference of 25.2 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Winter Weathers in Erie?
With a risk score of 96.8 for Winter Weather, Erie is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Winter Weather events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Erie safer than other cities in Pennsylvania?
It varies by hazard. While Erie has its own risk profile (Total Score: 58.7), it is generally comparable to the average in Pennsylvania. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Erie given the risk of Lightning?
Every city has risks. The threat of Lightning (Score: 95.9) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Erie is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Erie compare to other cities in Pennsylvania?
See the full Pennsylvania Disaster Rankings to see how Erie stacks up against other cities in the state.