New York Risk Analysis

Buffalo Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis

With a population of 949,547 and a calculated risk score of 79.7, Buffalo faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Buffalo, NY. Buffalo is known for its vibrant community spirit. Yet, our analysis highlights some important safety considerations. Analysis shows that winter weather are a primary concern here.

Total Risk Score

79.722/100
State Average81.1
State Rank#8 of 14
National Avg62.5

With a calculated Risk Score of 79.722, Buffalo requires specific preparation. The data highlights Winter Weather as the most critical threat to mitigate.

Winter storm risk in Buffalo, New York

Severe winter weather and ice storms pose a unique threat to Buffalo, potentially causing extended power outages and hazardous road conditions. Infrastructure in the area may be vulnerable to heavy ice accumulation.

Buffalo Winter Grid Failure Prep

  • Have a safe, indoor-rated backup heat source
  • Insulate pipes and know how to shut off main water valve
  • Keep a backup battery bank for charging phones

Top Hazards for The Buffalo Area

1Winter Weather
98.4 /100

Meteorological data for New York confirms that local planning increasingly focuses on mitigating winter weather. In light of this, based on multi-decade trend analysis, we assign an exposure rating of 98.4. Identifying a safe, windowless interior room is part of basic move-in preparation here.

2River Flooding
94.3 /100

Long-standing weather records for New York indicate citizens here are statistically more likely to encounter river flooding. Crucially, an analytical review of past disasters puts the current risk tier at 94.3. Heavy rainfall events can quickly overwhelm local drainage, making situational awareness key.

3Tornado
93.9 /100

Environmental studies focusing on New York highlight that the area's infrastructure faces consistent tests from tornado events. Additionally, federal hazard layers combined with local topography result in this 93.9 score. During these events, checking on elderly neighbors is a critical community responsibility.

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High Risk Detected

Winter Grid Failure Guide

Buffalo has significant winter storm risk. Learn the thermodynamics of survival when the power goes out.

Read the Guide →
Brownstone building
Urban Survival

The Apartment Fortress

Living in Buffalo? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.

Read the Guide →

How to Prepare in Buffalo

Read the Full Guide →

General preparedness is critical for Buffalo. While specific risks vary, the fundamentals of survival—water, food, and information—remain the same.

Critical Action Checklist

  • 1Avoid low-lying areas during heavy rain events.
  • 2Keep a physical map of the local area in case GPS fails.
  • 3Maintain a 3-day supply of non-perishable food and water.
  • 4Have a first aid kit and a supply of prescription medications.
  • 5Keep a battery-powered radio to stay informed during power outages.

Essential Gear for Buffalo

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Water

DroughtHurricane

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

Petzl Actik Core Headlamp

Power

HurricaneWinter Storm

Petzl Actik Core Headlamp

600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.

Gorilla Tape (Black)

Home

GeneralHurricane

Gorilla Tape (Black)

Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.

Do not wait for a Winter Weather warning to start packing. Secure your essential gear today.

View Complete Gear Checklist →

Compare Nearby Cities

CityRisk ScoreAnalysis
New York96.2

New York and Buffalo share similar regional risks, but our data gives Buffalo the edge in overall safety.

Brooklyn97.2

Brooklyn and Buffalo share similar regional risks, but our data gives Buffalo the edge in overall safety.

Queens96.2

When compared to Queens, Buffalo is statistically safer. The difference of 16.5 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Manhattan94.2

When compared to Manhattan, Buffalo is statistically safer. The difference of 14.5 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Bronx94.5

Bronx and Buffalo share similar regional risks, but our data gives Buffalo the edge in overall safety.

Frequently Asked Questions

How common are Winter Weathers in Buffalo?

With a risk score of 98.4 for Winter Weather, Buffalo is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Winter Weather events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.

Is Buffalo safer than other cities in New York?

It varies by hazard. While Buffalo has its own risk profile (Total Score: 79.7), it is generally comparable to the average in New York. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.

Should I move to Buffalo given the risk of River Flooding?

Every city has risks. The threat of River Flooding (Score: 94.3) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Buffalo is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.

How does Buffalo compare to other cities in New York?

See the full New York Disaster Rankings to see how Buffalo stacks up against other cities in the state.

Learn More about US Disasters