Tucson Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 879,871 and a calculated risk score of 92.9, Tucson faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Tucson, AZ. For residents of Tucson, life moves at its own pace. Unfortunately, nature can be unpredictable in this region. You should be particularly prepared for wildfires events.
Total Risk Score
Our algorithm assigns Tucson a Risk Score of 92.939 out of 100. This score is heavily influenced by the high probability of Wildfire and Heat Wave.
Wildfire risk in Tucson, Arizona
The dry climate and vegetation surrounding Tucson create conducive conditions for wildfires, especially during drought seasons. Residents in the wildland-urban interface need to be particularly vigilant about defensible space.
Tucson Wildfire Evacuation Plan
- β’Clear dry leaves and debris from gutters and roof
- β’Have a 'Go Bag' packed and ready near the door
- β’Sign up for local emergency alerts
Top Hazards for The Tucson Area
Environmental studies focusing on Arizona highlight that the area's infrastructure faces consistent tests from wildfire events. Additionally, federal hazard layers combined with local topography result in this 99.7 score. Landscaping choices play a huge role in determining a property's resilience to wildfire.
In the broader context of Arizona's climate, heat waves represent a significant vector of concern for Tucson. Furthermore, recent climate normals and historical event data contribute to this elevated score of 99.1. Insulation and sealing drafts can be a lifesaver when a heat wave strains the power grid.
Environmental studies focusing on Arizona highlight that the area's infrastructure faces consistent tests from lightning events. Additionally, federal hazard layers combined with local topography result in this 98.9 score. During these events, checking on elderly neighbors is a critical community responsibility.
Monitor Active Threats
Tucson has identified seismic or wildfire risks. Check our real-time tracker for active events.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Tucson? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Tucson
Read the Full Guide βResidents of Tucson must prioritize defensible space and air quality. Fire moves fast, and smoke can be just as dangerous. Your preparation should focus on rapid evacuation and respiratory protection.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Keep gutters clean of dry leaves and debris.
- 2Have N95 masks in your kit for smoke protection.
- 3Prepare for secondary heat waves if power is lost.
- 4Pack a 'Go-Bag' with wool blankets and protective clothing.
- 5Know at least two evacuation routes out of your neighborhood.
Essential Gear for Tucson

Power
Anker PowerCore 10K
Pocket-sized power to keep your phone alive for emergency calls.

Home
Gorilla Tape (Black)
Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.

Pets
PetBonus Collapsible Dog Bowls
Collapsible bowls for easy packing. Hydration is critical for pets during stress.
Your safety depends on your readiness. Start building your emergency kit for Wildfire now.
View Complete Gear Checklist βCompare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 96.2 | When compared to Phoenix, Tucson is statistically safer. The difference of 3.2 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Mesa | 96.2 | When compared to Mesa, Tucson is statistically safer. The difference of 3.2 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Chandler | 96.2 | Choosing between Tucson and Chandler? Tucson presents a lower overall risk profile. |
| Gilbert | 96.2 | When compared to Gilbert, Tucson is statistically safer. The difference of 3.2 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| Glendale | 96.2 | Choosing between Tucson and Glendale? Tucson presents a lower overall risk profile. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Wildfires in Tucson?
With a risk score of 99.7 for Wildfire, Tucson is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Wildfire events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Tucson safer than other cities in Arizona?
It varies by hazard. While Tucson has its own risk profile (Total Score: 92.9), it is among the higher-risk areas in Arizona. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Tucson given the risk of Heat Wave?
Every city has risks. The threat of Heat Wave (Score: 99.1) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Tucson is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Tucson compare to other cities in Arizona?
See the full Arizona Disaster Rankings to see how Tucson stacks up against other cities in the state.