Ohio Risk Analysis

Toledo Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis

With a population of 492,076 and a calculated risk score of 77.0, Toledo faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Toledo, OH. The landscape around Toledo defines much of daily life. Yet, the geography also exposes the area to certain threats. The risk of tornadoes is higher here than the national average.

Total Risk Score

76.990/100
State Average78.6
State Rank#7 of 10 β†’
National Avg62.5

The numbers don't lie. Toledo sits at a Risk Score of 76.990. This is driven by a combination of factors, most notably Tornado and River Flooding.

Tornado risk in Toledo, Ohio

Toledo is susceptible to severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes. Weather patterns in this region can generate sudden rotational storms that give residents very little warning time compared to other hazards.

Toledo Tornado Safety

  • β€’Identify an interior room without windows on the lowest floor
  • β€’Monitor NOAA weather radio during spring storm season
  • β€’Clear yard of potential projectiles before storms arrive

Top Hazards for The Toledo Area

1Tornado
96.3 /100

From a statewide perspective in Ohio, seasonality plays a huge role in the intensity of tornadoes here. Consequently, our algorithm flags this as a priority area with a calculated intensity of 96.3. Local schools and businesses typically have robust protocols for these weather events.

2River Flooding
89.4 /100

Long-standing weather records for Ohio indicate citizens here are statistically more likely to encounter river flooding. Crucially, an analytical review of past disasters puts the current risk tier at 89.4. Heavy rainfall events can quickly overwhelm local drainage, making situational awareness key.

3Winter Weather
89.3 /100

Meteorological data for Ohio confirms that local planning increasingly focuses on mitigating winter weather. In light of this, based on multi-decade trend analysis, we assign an exposure rating of 89.3. Identifying a safe, windowless interior room is part of basic move-in preparation here.

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High Risk Detected

Winter Grid Failure Guide

Toledo has significant winter storm risk. Learn the thermodynamics of survival when the power goes out.

Read the Guide β†’
Brownstone building
Urban Survival

The Apartment Fortress

Living in Toledo? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.

Read the Guide β†’

How to Prepare in Toledo

Read the Full Guide β†’

Identify your safe room immediately. In Toledo, severe storms can spin up quickly. You need a safe, windowless location and a way to receive alerts when the power grid fails.

Critical Action Checklist

  • 1Avoid low-lying areas during heavy rain events.
  • 2Secure outdoor furniture that could become projectiles.
  • 3Keep a whistle in your kit to signal for help if trapped.
  • 4Wear a helmet (bike or construction) to protect from debris.
  • 5Have a weather radio with a battery backup to receive alerts.

Essential Gear for Toledo

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Water

DroughtHurricane

Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System

Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

Petzl Actik Core Headlamp

Power

HurricaneWinter Storm

Petzl Actik Core Headlamp

600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.

Gorilla Tape (Black)

Home

GeneralHurricane

Gorilla Tape (Black)

Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.

The best insurance against Tornado is preparation. Check your kit and ensure you are ready.

View Complete Gear Checklist β†’

Compare Nearby Cities

CityRisk ScoreAnalysis
Cincinnati90.6

Cincinnati and Toledo share similar regional risks, but our data gives Toledo the edge in overall safety.

Cleveland87.3

Choosing between Toledo and Cleveland? Toledo presents a lower overall risk profile.

Columbus88.7

When compared to Columbus, Toledo is statistically safer. The difference of 11.7 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Dayton77.3

Choosing between Toledo and Dayton? Toledo presents a lower overall risk profile.

Akron79.5

When compared to Akron, Toledo is statistically safer. The difference of 2.5 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations.

Frequently Asked Questions

How common are Tornados in Toledo?

With a risk score of 96.3 for Tornado, Toledo is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Tornado events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.

Is Toledo safer than other cities in Ohio?

It varies by hazard. While Toledo has its own risk profile (Total Score: 77.0), it is generally comparable to the average in Ohio. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.

Should I move to Toledo given the risk of River Flooding?

Every city has risks. The threat of River Flooding (Score: 89.4) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Toledo is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.

How does Toledo compare to other cities in Ohio?

See the full Ohio Disaster Rankings to see how Toledo stacks up against other cities in the state.

Learn More about US Disasters