Rochester Disaster Risk Score & Hazard Analysis
With a population of 123,252 and a calculated risk score of 72.7, Rochester faces unique challenges. This page is a complete hazard risk assessment for Rochester, MN. Settling down in Rochester is a choice many are proud of. However, it also comes with specific weather patterns. Specifically, the area has a heightened risk of winter weather.
Total Risk Score
With a calculated Risk Score of 72.713, Rochester requires specific preparation. The data highlights Winter Weather as the most critical threat to mitigate.
Winter storm risk in Rochester, Minnesota
Severe winter weather and ice storms pose a unique threat to Rochester, potentially causing extended power outages and hazardous road conditions. Infrastructure in the area may be vulnerable to heavy ice accumulation.
Rochester Winter Grid Failure Prep
- •Have a safe, indoor-rated backup heat source
- •Insulate pipes and know how to shut off main water valve
- •Keep a backup battery bank for charging phones
Top Hazards for The Rochester Area
Given the environmental patterns common in Minnesota, the potential for winter weather in Rochester stands out as a primary factor. Additionally, this score of 96.6 reflects both the frequency and potential severity of events. During these events, checking on elderly neighbors is a critical community responsibility.
Within the specific ecosystem of Minnesota, tornado frequency is a defining characteristic of the local hazard profile. As a result, historical probability models result in a localized score of 94.4/100. A NOAA weather radio with battery backup is the most reliable way to receive alerts.
The geographical layout of Minnesota means that emergency services prioritize readiness for these river flooding scenarios. Therefore, deep learning models analyzing weather patterns output this risk metric of 85.7. Sandbagging locations and shelter routes should be identified before the season starts.
Winter Grid Failure Guide
Rochester has significant winter storm risk. Learn the thermodynamics of survival when the power goes out.

The Apartment Fortress
Living in Rochester? Learn how to handle water storage, sanitation, and security in a small space.
How to Prepare in Rochester
Read the Full Guide →General preparedness is critical for Rochester. While specific risks vary, the fundamentals of survival—water, food, and information—remain the same.
Critical Action Checklist
- 1Keep a physical map of the local area in case GPS fails.
- 2Maintain a 3-day supply of non-perishable food and water.
- 3Have a first aid kit and a supply of prescription medications.
- 4Keep a battery-powered radio to stay informed during power outages.
- 5Establish a family communication plan for when cell towers are down.
Essential Gear for Rochester

Water
Sawyer Products Mini Water Filtration System
Filters up to 100,000 gallons. Essential when tap water is compromised.

Power
Petzl Actik Core Headlamp
600 lumens and rechargeable. Hands-free lighting is critical during power outages.

Home
Gorilla Tape (Black)
Heavy-duty tape for emergency repairs, sealing windows, or medical improvisation.
Do not wait for a Winter Weather warning to start packing. Secure your essential gear today.
View Complete Gear Checklist →Compare Nearby Cities
| City | Risk Score | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Minneapolis | 93.7 | Minneapolis and Rochester share similar regional risks, but our data gives Rochester the edge in overall safety. |
| St. Paul | 88.7 | St. Paul and Rochester share similar regional risks, but our data gives Rochester the edge in overall safety. |
| Duluth | 57.1 | When compared to Duluth, Rochester is slightly higher risk. The difference of 15.6 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
| St. Cloud | 72.8 | When compared to St. Cloud, Rochester is statistically safer. The difference of 0.1 points highlights local geological and meteorological variations. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How common are Winter Weathers in Rochester?
With a risk score of 96.6 for Winter Weather, Rochester is considered highly vulnerable. Residents should have a specific plan for Winter Weather events, which are the primary driver of the city's overall risk profile.
Is Rochester safer than other cities in Minnesota?
It varies by hazard. While Rochester has its own risk profile (Total Score: 72.7), it is generally comparable to the average in Minnesota. See our state rankings for a direct comparison.
Should I move to Rochester given the risk of Tornado?
Every city has risks. The threat of Tornado (Score: 94.4) is manageable with proper preparation. The local infrastructure in Rochester is designed to handle this, but personal insurance and a 'go-bag' are recommended.
How does Rochester compare to other cities in Minnesota?
See the full Minnesota Disaster Rankings to see how Rochester stacks up against other cities in the state.